World Cup 2026 group stage status and final match schedules

As the 2026 World Cup group stage concludes, six teams have already secured their spots in the round of 32: Mexico, the USA, Germany, Argentina, France, and Norway. Conversely, Haiti, Turkey, Tunisia, and Jordan have been eliminated from the competition. South Africa's recent victory over South Korea has significantly altered the rankings for the best third-placed teams, with South Korea still holding a high 95% probability of advancing despite the loss. Scotland faces a challenging path, as their qualification chances have dropped to 41% due to these results. Teams with at least 3 points are generally expected to qualify, though standings remain fluid across all groups. Final matches in the early groups are underway to determine the exact seeding for the knockout stage.