Recent private polls signal a highly competitive 2028 presidential race in Cyprus

Recent private opinion polls conducted in Cyprus ahead of the 2028 presidential elections highlight a highly fluid political environment. While the list of candidates remains uncertain, projections suggest that a three-way battle for the second-round spots is emerging between potential candidate Andreas Mavroyiannis, incumbent President Nikos Christodoulides, and a candidate representing the DISY party.

Data from simulations indicates that if Andreas Mavroyiannis runs, he is well-positioned to reach the second round. One specific scenario suggests Mavroyiannis securing 30%, followed by Annita Demetriou at 26%, and Nikos Christodoulides at 24%. These findings underscore a significant challenge for the center-right, as the vote in that political spectrum appears fragmented.

Analysts note that the presence of an independent candidate from the ALMA movement, led by Odysseas Michaelides, could significantly impact the outcome. Such a candidacy would likely draw support from the same opposition voter pool as Mavroyiannis, thereby weakening his electoral momentum. As the final roster of candidates has yet to be determined, political observers emphasize that current figures are based on hypothetical scenarios. The focus remains on the first round of voting, which is expected to be a decisive and intense struggle to determine which two candidates will proceed to the final contest.