Serbia nears high-stakes parliamentary elections

Serbia is preparing for parliamentary elections on October 25, 2026, following a campaign defined by deep political polarization. Recent polls present conflicting data: the NSPM institute reports the opposition Student List holds 44.5% against 42.7% for the ruling Progressive Party (SNS), while Birodi suggests a stronger lead for the students, and Faktor Plus narrowly favors the SNS at 48.6%. Voter turnout is projected to exceed 60%, a factor analysts believe may favor the opposition.

The political landscape has been reshaped by a student-led movement protesting corruption and lack of transparency since 2024. The movement’s momentum intensified following a fatal incident at the Novi Sad railway station, where a roof collapse killed 16 people. The Student List, composed of academics and civil society members, serves as the primary challenger to the SNS. President Aleksandar Vucic, who held a final rally in Nis, remains confident in victory while accusing foreign entities of orchestrating the protests to destabilize the country. Vucic has expressed a desire to seek reconciliation with his political opponents following the vote to ensure national stability.