Brazil holds runoff presidential election between Lula da Silva and Flavio Bolsonaro

Brazil is holding a decisive presidential runoff election on October 25, 2026, as approximately 160 million citizens head to the polls. The contest pits the 81-year-old incumbent, Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, who is seeking a fourth non-consecutive term, against 45-year-old conservative senator Flavio Bolsonaro. In the first round of voting held three weeks ago, Flavio Bolsonaro secured 47% of the vote compared to 45% for Lula.

Recent polls conducted by Datafolha and Quaest show Flavio Bolsonaro slightly leading with 51% against 49% for Lula, though both organizations note the results remain within the statistical margin of error. The campaign has centered on critical issues including the economy, social welfare, protection of the Amazon, and institutional stability.

This election carries significant weight given the political legacy of the candidate's father, former President Jair Bolsonaro, who is currently serving a 27-year house arrest sentence for his role in a 2022 coup attempt. While the elder Bolsonaro is a divisive figure, international observers note that the campaign remains highly competitive as both candidates conclude their final rallies across major cities like Rio de Janeiro, Sao Paulo, and Belo Horizonte.